Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.2 – 182.61

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

120 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 237.1 ±12.1

2928Viking Robotics

Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 21.86Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5588Reign Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 67.73Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1899Saints Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX -17.39Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.4 ±11.6

3681Robo-Raiders

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 39.18Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7461Sushi Squad

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 86.77Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

492Titan Robotics Club

Season APEX 135.9Event APEX 56.66Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2928, 5588, 1899

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2928, 5588, 1899

Auto

7.4 10%

Teleop

21.5 29%

Endgame

45.2 61%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3681, 7461, 492

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3681, 7461, 492

Auto

44.0 24%

Teleop

115.5 63%

Endgame

22.7 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 2.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.2pts

Blue projected score182.6pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -110.4
Score range: 38–217
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 343 vs event baseline 188.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

237.1Season APEX311.4

7.4Auto44

21.5Teleop115.5

45.2Endgame22.7

207Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	22
teleop	59	104
endgame	18	97
foul	0	0
total	120	223

Result

Final score

120 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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