Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
275.03 – 93.88
91%9%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
237 – 259
Prediction missed · off by 101.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 396.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 132Event APEX 88.11Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 25.83Rank 28Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 161.09Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 278.7 ±11.6
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 2.77Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 36.67Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 130.7Event APEX 54.44Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1318, 9442, 2412
79
/ 100 compatProjected
275 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 1318, 9442, 2412
Auto
13.7 6%
Teleop
162.9 67%
Endgame
67.1 28%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2903, 4911, 8248
37
/ 100 compatProjected
93.9 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 2903, 4911, 8248
Auto
29.8 38%
Teleop
18.6 24%
Endgame
30.3 39%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.9
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score275pts
Blue projected score93.9pts
Red win probability91%
Event bonus sample148alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 67%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 181.1
- Score range
- 61–308
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
396.9Season APEX278.7
13.7Auto29.8
162.9Teleop18.6
67.1Endgame30.3
94Consistency125
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 40 | 39 |
| teleop | 139 | 128 |
| endgame | 58 | 77 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 237 | 259 |
Result
Final score
237 – 259
Prediction missed · off by 101.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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