Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

192.57 – 103.21

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

280 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 74.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 528.2 ±9.8

488Team XBOT

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 65.74Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

492Titan Robotics Club

Season APEX 135.9Event APEX 27.46Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

948NRG (Newport Robotics Group)

Season APEX 278Event APEX 99.37Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 202.6 ±12.1

4180Iron Riders

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 59.04Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2903NeoBots

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 2.5Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9036Ramen Robotics

Season APEX 92.4Event APEX 41.67Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 488, 492, 948

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 488, 492, 948

Auto

29.1 16%

Teleop

120.3 65%

Endgame

37.0 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4180, 2903, 9036

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4180, 2903, 9036

Auto

8.3 9%

Teleop

57.8 64%

Endgame

23.8 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.27 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score192.6pts

Blue projected score103.2pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample148alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89.4
Score range: 70–226
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 444 vs event baseline 181.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

528.2Season APEX202.6

29.1Auto8.3

120.3Teleop57.8

37Endgame23.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	20
teleop	208	86
endgame	26	53
foul	0	5
total	280	164

Result

Final score

280 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 74.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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