Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

360.63 – 175.49

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

319 – 198

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 684.5 ±9.5

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 172.28Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5588Reign Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 8.79Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

948NRG (Newport Robotics Group)

Season APEX 278Event APEX 179.56Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 316.8 ±11

8302⚡️ Ｎｉ-ＴＲＯ ⚡️

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 20.2Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3218Panther Robotics

Season APEX 133.3Event APEX 84.4Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1318Issaquah Robotics Society

Season APEX 132Event APEX 70.89Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2046, 5588, 948

/ 100 compat

Projected

360.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2046, 5588, 948

Auto

69.0 20%

Teleop

195.9 56%

Endgame

85.6 24%

Strengths

· 948 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8302, 3218, 1318

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8302, 3218, 1318

Auto

30.0 17%

Teleop

99.2 57%

Endgame

46.2 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.31 · Blue 0.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score360.6pts

Blue projected score175.5pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 185.1
Score range: 151–385
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 517 vs event baseline 133.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

684.5Season APEX316.8

69Auto30

195.9Teleop99.2

85.6Endgame46.2

0Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	47
teleop	181	87
endgame	76	59
foul	0	5
total	319	198

Result

Final score

319 – 198

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 pts

Match videos

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