Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
169.11 – 50.61
81%19%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
220 – 106
Prediction correct · off by 53.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 316.8 ±11
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 17.77Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 133.3Event APEX 81.79Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 132Event APEX 69.55Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 99.9Event APEX 23.72Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 36Event APEX 11.18Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 15.71Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8302, 3218, 1318
73
/ 100 compatProjected
169.1 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8302, 3218, 1318
Auto
31.1 19%
Teleop
94.9 57%
Endgame
41.7 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1983, 5941, 9446
34
/ 100 compatProjected
50.6 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 1983, 5941, 9446
Auto
17.4 35%
Teleop
26.4 52%
Endgame
6.5 13%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.83
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score169.1pts
Blue projected score50.6pts
Red win probability81%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 118.5
- Score range
- 27–193
- Upset likelihood
- 19%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
316.8Season APEX207.2
31.1Auto17.4
94.9Teleop26.4
41.7Endgame6.5
2Consistency7
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 28 | 13 |
| teleop | 125 | 45 |
| endgame | 67 | 33 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 220 | 106 |
Result
Final score
220 – 106
Prediction correct · off by 53.1 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.