Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

60 – 12.71

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

38 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 15.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 158.8 ±12.7

5941Cast Iron Orcas

Season APEX 36Event APEX 18.21Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9446C Cubed

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 20.35Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8302⚡️ Ｎｉ-ＴＲＯ ⚡️

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 21.44Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 113.3 ±12.7

6350Clawbots

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX 5.05Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5683R.A.V.E.N.

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 21.72Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5588Reign Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX -14.06Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5941, 9446, 8302

/ 100 compat

Projected

60 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5941, 9446, 8302

Auto

14.2 24%

Teleop

31.2 54%

Endgame

12.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6350, 5683, 5588

/ 100 compat

Projected

12.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6350, 5683, 5588

Auto

7.1 52%

Teleop

-1.2 0%

Endgame

7.7 57%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score60pts

Blue projected score12.7pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.3
Score range: -12–85
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 59 vs event baseline 141.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

158.8Season APEX113.3

14.2Auto7.1

31.2Teleop-1.2

12.9Endgame7.7

19Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	9
teleop	24	7
endgame	2	5
foul	0	0
total	38	21

Result

Final score

38 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 15.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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