Qualification · Qualification 67
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
137.86 – 202.89
31%69%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
137 – 202
Prediction correct · off by 0.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 217.1 ±12.2
Season APEX 31.7Event APEX 6.03Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 49.1Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 133.3Event APEX 82.73Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.4 ±12.4
Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 17.9Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 30.1Event APEX 5.96Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 278Event APEX 179.03Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8303, 4980, 3218
64
/ 100 compatProjected
137.9 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 8303, 4980, 3218
Auto
21.9 16%
Teleop
76.2 55%
Endgame
41.4 30%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9446, 6350, 948
79
/ 100 compatProjected
202.9 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9446, 6350, 948
Auto
24.6 13%
Teleop
122.3 62%
Endgame
49.7 25%
Strengths
- · 948 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.91
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score137.9pts
Blue projected score202.9pts
Red win probability31%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -65
- Score range
- 115–226
- Upset likelihood
- 31%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
217.1Season APEX379.4
21.9Auto24.6
76.2Teleop122.3
41.4Endgame49.7
0Consistency17
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 44 |
| teleop | 83 | 122 |
| endgame | 32 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 137 | 202 |
Result
Final score
137 – 202
Prediction correct · off by 0.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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