Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

30.08 – 248.25

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

33 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 13.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 226.3 ±12.2

10455Bison Dynamics

Season APEX 89Event APEX -1.41Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8896Wolf Tech Robotics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 13.93Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8302⚡️ Ｎｉ-ＴＲＯ ⚡️

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 17.56Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 602.9 ±9.3

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 132.34Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2976The Spartabots

Season APEX 115.4Event APEX 32.04Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 83.87Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10455, 8896, 8302

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.1 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10455, 8896, 8302

Auto

12.3 56%

Teleop

8.4 38%

Endgame

1.4 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 360, 2976, 2412

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 360, 2976, 2412

Auto

32.8 13%

Teleop

154.8 62%

Endgame

60.7 24%

Strengths

· 360 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.42 · Blue 2.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score30.1pts

Blue projected score248.3pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -218.2
Score range: 7–271
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 257 vs event baseline 128.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

226.3Season APEX602.9

12.3Auto32.8

8.4Teleop154.8

1.4Endgame60.7

12Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	59
teleop	20	104
endgame	6	61
foul	0	0
total	33	224

Result

Final score

33 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 13.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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