Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

176.42 – 27.46

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

153 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 16.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 360.4 ±11

2928Viking Robotics

Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 33.34Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

492Titan Robotics Club

Season APEX 135.9Event APEX 89.79Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8248ChainLynx

Season APEX 130.7Event APEX 53.29Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 164.5 ±12.7

5588Reign Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 9.1Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2927NEST Robotics

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 4.31Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2557SOTAbots

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 14.05Rank 34Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2928, 492, 8248

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2928, 492, 8248

Auto

37.0 21%

Teleop

95.5 55%

Endgame

41.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5588, 2927, 2557

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5588, 2927, 2557

Auto

6.7 28%

Teleop

11.4 48%

Endgame

5.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score176.4pts

Blue projected score27.5pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 149
Score range: 4–199
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 190 vs event baseline 126.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

360.4Season APEX164.5

37Auto6.7

95.5Teleop11.4

41.7Endgame5.7

28Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	5
teleop	40	22
endgame	54	10
foul	5	0
total	153	37

Result

Final score

153 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 16.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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