Qualification · Qualification 63
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
106.74 – 40.06
70%30%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
99 – 125
Prediction missed · off by 46.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 211.2 ±11.6
Season APEX 132Event APEX 62.82Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 29.62Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 36Event APEX 14.3Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198.7 ±13.3
Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 41.86Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69.8Event APEX -6.67Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 76.8Event APEX 4.87Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1318, 3393, 5941
56
/ 100 compatProjected
106.7 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 1318, 3393, 5941
Auto
25.3 23%
Teleop
60.4 54%
Endgame
25.2 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4980, 3049, 10423
32
/ 100 compatProjected
40.1 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 4980, 3049, 10423
Auto
12.2 30%
Teleop
23.8 58%
Endgame
5.3 13%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score106.7pts
Blue projected score40.1pts
Red win probability70%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 66.7
- Score range
- 17–130
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
211.2Season APEX198.7
25.3Auto12.2
60.4Teleop23.8
25.2Endgame5.3
0Consistency14
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 22 |
| teleop | 51 | 47 |
| endgame | 21 | 56 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 99 | 125 |
Result
Final score
99 – 125
Prediction missed · off by 46.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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