Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

75.9 – 236.29

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

102 – 286

Prediction correct · off by 37.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 260.1 ±12.1

2557SOTAbots

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 15.31Rank 34Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2147CHUCK

Season APEX 95.5Event APEX 27.23Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2928Viking Robotics

Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 33.36Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 528.5 ±9.9

9450Velocity Raptors

Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 89.44Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8302⚡️ Ｎｉ-ＴＲＯ ⚡️

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 16.03Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 130.82Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2557, 2147, 2928

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2557, 2147, 2928

Auto

8.3 11%

Teleop

36.3 50%

Endgame

27.7 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9450, 8302, 360

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9450, 8302, 360

Auto

50.5 22%

Teleop

135.6 59%

Endgame

42.9 19%

Strengths

· 360 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score75.9pts

Blue projected score236.3pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -160.4
Score range: 54–258
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 388 vs event baseline 124.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

260.1Season APEX528.5

8.3Auto50.5

36.3Teleop135.6

27.7Endgame42.9

24Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	42
teleop	47	157
endgame	47	87
foul	5	0
total	102	286

Result

Final score

102 – 286

Prediction correct · off by 37.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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