Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

100.14 – 222.36

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

85 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 15.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 309.6 ±11.7

5683R.A.V.E.N.

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 18.54Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3049BremerTron

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX -4.26Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 85.86Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352.9 ±11.7

8303GatorBytes

Season APEX 31.7Event APEX 9.94Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

948NRG (Newport Robotics Group)

Season APEX 278Event APEX 180.76Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3393Horns of Havoc

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 31.66Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5683, 3049, 2412

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5683, 3049, 2412

Auto

19.2 19%

Teleop

55.3 54%

Endgame

27.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8303, 948, 3393

/ 100 compat

Projected

222.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8303, 948, 3393

Auto

26.8 12%

Teleop

123.1 57%

Endgame

66.9 31%

Strengths

· 948 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score100.1pts

Blue projected score222.4pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -122.2
Score range: 78–244
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 291 vs event baseline 124.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

309.6Season APEX352.9

19.2Auto26.8

55.3Teleop123.1

27.8Endgame66.9

9Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	35
teleop	53	141
endgame	16	30
foul	0	0
total	85	206

Result

Final score

85 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 15.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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