Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

139.43 – 217.52

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

23 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 60.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.3 ±12.8

3218Panther Robotics

Season APEX 133.3Event APEX 115.29Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10423CB Tech

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX 10.16Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2927NEST Robotics

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 13.98Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 461 ±11.1

7461Sushi Squad

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 48.13Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4911CyberKnights

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 55.38Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 114.01Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3218, 10423, 2927

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3218, 10423, 2927

Auto

13.7 10%

Teleop

78.5 58%

Endgame

43.6 32%

Strengths

· 3218 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7461, 4911, 360

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7461, 4911, 360

Auto

40.2 19%

Teleop

135.6 63%

Endgame

39.9 18%

Strengths

· 360 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.97 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score139.4pts

Blue projected score217.5pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -78.1
Score range: 119–238
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 236 vs event baseline 112.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

245.3Season APEX461

13.7Auto40.2

78.5Teleop135.6

43.6Endgame39.9

23Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	41
teleop	10	136
endgame	4	36
foul	0	0
total	23	213

Result

Final score

23 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 60.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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