Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

189.17 – 4.22

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

183 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 32 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 350.7 ±11.7

3218Panther Robotics

Season APEX 133.3Event APEX 87.78Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

492Titan Robotics Club

Season APEX 135.9Event APEX 91.7Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2906Sentinel Prime Robotics

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 9.69Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 201.8 ±13.3

10423CB Tech

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX 0.82Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10455Bison Dynamics

Season APEX 89Event APEX -7.12Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5941Cast Iron Orcas

Season APEX 36Event APEX 10.52Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3218, 492, 2906

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.2 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3218, 492, 2906

Auto

32.6 18%

Teleop

109.4 59%

Endgame

42.6 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10423, 10455, 5941

/ 100 compat

Projected

4.2 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10423, 10455, 5941

Auto

9.0 100%

Teleop

0.9 100%

Endgame

-9.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score189.2pts

Blue projected score4.2pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 185
Score range: -18–211
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 245 vs event baseline 124.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

350.7Season APEX201.8

32.6Auto9

109.4Teleop0.9

42.6Endgame-9.1

33Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	14
teleop	106	26
endgame	44	17
foul	0	5
total	183	62

Result

Final score

183 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 32 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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