Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

21.08 – 99.29

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

13 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 54.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 128.4 ±13.9

2929Emeral Ridge JAGBOTS

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 1.97Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2927NEST Robotics

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 9.02Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6350Clawbots

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX 10.09Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 342.6 ±11

2976The Spartabots

Season APEX 115.4Event APEX 24.51Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8248ChainLynx

Season APEX 130.7Event APEX 45.12Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4911CyberKnights

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 29.66Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2929, 2927, 6350

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2929, 2927, 6350

Auto

6.5 35%

Teleop

5.9 32%

Endgame

6.3 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2976, 8248, 4911

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2976, 8248, 4911

Auto

9.6 10%

Teleop

53.5 53%

Endgame

37.3 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.94 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score21.1pts

Blue projected score99.3pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -78.2
Score range: -1–121
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 214 vs event baseline 124.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

128.4Season APEX342.6

6.5Auto9.6

5.9Teleop53.5

6.3Endgame37.3

10Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	12
teleop	0	111
endgame	0	78
foul	0	0
total	13	201

Result

Final score

13 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 54.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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