Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

99.17 – 74.57

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

215 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 72.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 329.2 ±10.5

5683R.A.V.E.N.

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 9.51Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9450Velocity Raptors

Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 77.88Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1983Skunk Works Robotics

Season APEX 99.9Event APEX 11.78Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.9 ±11.6

4980Canine Crusaders

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 44.03Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10416Radical Raccoons

Season APEX 142.3Event APEX 19.47Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5588Reign Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 11.07Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5683, 9450, 1983

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5683, 9450, 1983

Auto

27.6 28%

Teleop

44.0 45%

Endgame

26.7 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4980, 10416, 5588

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4980, 10416, 5588

Auto

20.7 28%

Teleop

52.5 70%

Endgame

1.4 2%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score99.2pts

Blue projected score74.6pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 24.6
Score range: 53–121
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 318 vs event baseline 123.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

329.2Season APEX252.9

27.6Auto20.7

44Teleop52.5

26.7Endgame1.4

0Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	14
teleop	114	35
endgame	50	54
foul	0	0
total	215	103

Result

Final score

215 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 72.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.