Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

150.53 – 28.28

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

238 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 86.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 350.4 ±11.1

3393Horns of Havoc

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 25.81Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 79.41Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7461Sushi Squad

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 45.31Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 261.1 ±12.2

2906Sentinel Prime Robotics

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 3.24Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2928Viking Robotics

Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 26.8Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8896Wolf Tech Robotics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX -1.76Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3393, 2412, 7461

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3393, 2412, 7461

Auto

26.6 17%

Teleop

98.8 64%

Endgame

29.4 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2906, 2928, 8896

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2906, 2928, 8896

Auto

15.7 60%

Teleop

3.5 13%

Endgame

6.8 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.11 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score150.5pts

Blue projected score28.3pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 122.3
Score range: 6–173
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 352 vs event baseline 122.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

350.4Season APEX261.1

26.6Auto15.7

98.8Teleop3.5

29.4Endgame6.8

0Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	15
teleop	138	60
endgame	72	9
foul	0	30
total	238	114

Result

Final score

238 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 86.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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