Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

279.49 – 125.2

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

394 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 59.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 655.6 ±10.2

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 160.35Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 120.01Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2927NEST Robotics

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX -0.87Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 238.4 ±12.2

2557SOTAbots

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 17.74Rank 34Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8303GatorBytes

Season APEX 31.7Event APEX 14.41Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

492Titan Robotics Club

Season APEX 135.9Event APEX 93.05Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2046, 360, 2927

/ 100 compat

Projected

279.5 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2046, 360, 2927

Auto

63.1 23%

Teleop

152.2 56%

Endgame

57.4 21%

Strengths

· 2046 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2557, 8303, 492

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2557, 8303, 492

Auto

27.6 22%

Teleop

63.2 51%

Endgame

33.3 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.31 · Blue 0.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score279.5pts

Blue projected score125.2pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 154.3
Score range: 103–301
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 524 vs event baseline 120.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

655.6Season APEX238.4

63.1Auto27.6

152.2Teleop63.2

57.4Endgame33.3

26Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	21
teleop	220	58
endgame	91	41
foul	0	10
total	394	130

Result

Final score

394 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 59.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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