Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

91.04 – 103.86

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

128 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 38.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 213.6 ±12.2

6350Clawbots

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX 9.63Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8302⚡️ Ｎｉ-ＴＲＯ ⚡️

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 14.11Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1318Issaquah Robotics Society

Season APEX 132Event APEX 67.3Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 452 ±11.2

3049BremerTron

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX -4.81Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4450Olympia Robotics Federation

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 18.38Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3218Panther Robotics

Season APEX 133.3Event APEX 90.29Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6350, 8302, 1318

/ 100 compat

Projected

91 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6350, 8302, 1318

Auto

26.6 29%

Teleop

50.3 54%

Endgame

15.9 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3049, 4450, 3218

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3049, 4450, 3218

Auto

11.2 11%

Teleop

61.4 60%

Endgame

30.1 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score91pts

Blue projected score103.9pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -12.8
Score range: 69–126
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 272 vs event baseline 119.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

213.6Season APEX452

26.6Auto11.2

50.3Teleop61.4

15.9Endgame30.1

4Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	19
teleop	51	84
endgame	43	41
foul	10	0
total	128	144

Result

Final score

128 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 38.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.