Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

191.45 – 62.73

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

297 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 57.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 418.1 ±10.5

2976The Spartabots

Season APEX 115.4Event APEX 18.03Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5683R.A.V.E.N.

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 0.68Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

948NRG (Newport Robotics Group)

Season APEX 278Event APEX 172.74Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208.7 ±13.3

2147CHUCK

Season APEX 95.5Event APEX 34.12Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8303GatorBytes

Season APEX 31.7Event APEX 21.62Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2906Sentinel Prime Robotics

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 6.99Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2976, 5683, 948

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2976, 5683, 948

Auto

23.6 13%

Teleop

99.7 54%

Endgame

59.8 33%

Strengths

· 948 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2147, 8303, 2906

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2147, 8303, 2906

Auto

3.9 6%

Teleop

35.6 54%

Endgame

26.6 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score191.5pts

Blue projected score62.7pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 128.7
Score range: 42–212
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 350 vs event baseline 117.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

418.1Season APEX208.7

23.6Auto3.9

99.7Teleop35.6

59.8Endgame26.6

23Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	10
teleop	164	10
endgame	92	28
foul	0	5
total	297	53

Result

Final score

297 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 57.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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