Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

258.8 – 125.28

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

391 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 84.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 613.5 ±10.7

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 105.9Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

948NRG (Newport Robotics Group)

Season APEX 278Event APEX 156.29Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2929Emeral Ridge JAGBOTS

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX -3.39Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 274.3 ±11.6

8302⚡️ Ｎｉ-ＴＲＯ ⚡️

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 24.02Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7461Sushi Squad

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 67.4Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8248ChainLynx

Season APEX 130.7Event APEX 33.86Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 360, 948, 2929

/ 100 compat

Projected

258.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 360, 948, 2929

Auto

45.9 18%

Teleop

154.3 60%

Endgame

55.9 22%

Strengths

· 948 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8302, 7461, 8248

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8302, 7461, 8248

Auto

27.7 22%

Teleop

78.1 62%

Endgame

19.8 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score258.8pts

Blue projected score125.3pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 133.5
Score range: 104–280
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 479 vs event baseline 116.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

613.5Season APEX274.3

45.9Auto27.7

154.3Teleop78.1

55.9Endgame19.8

77Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	22
teleop	212	46
endgame	94	20
foul	45	0
total	391	88

Result

Final score

391 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 84.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.