Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 216.18

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

54 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.1 ±12.2

8896Wolf Tech Robotics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX -16.59Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5588Reign Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 14.18Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3049BremerTron

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX -16.64Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 435.8 ±11.2

3218Panther Robotics

Season APEX 133.3Event APEX 93.26Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6350Clawbots

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX 12.56Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 110.36Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8896, 5588, 3049

/ 100 compat

Projected

-19 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8896, 5588, 3049

Auto

-2.9 12%

Teleop

-9.5 39%

Endgame

-11.9 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3218, 6350, 360

/ 100 compat

Projected

216.2 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3218, 6350, 360

Auto

29.4 14%

Teleop

135.7 63%

Endgame

51.0 24%

Strengths

· 360 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.39 · Blue 2.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-19pts

Blue projected score216.2pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -216.2
Score range: -20–236
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 239 vs event baseline 113.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

214.1Season APEX435.8

-2.9Auto29.4

-9.5Teleop135.7

-11.9Endgame51

7Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	30
teleop	27	95
endgame	11	60
foul	5	0
total	54	185

Result

Final score

54 – 185

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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