Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

110.33 – 30.08

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

112 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 6.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 283 ±11.7

2927NEST Robotics

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX -3.51Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3393Horns of Havoc

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 36.95Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9450Velocity Raptors

Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 76.89Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 290.5 ±12.2

8248ChainLynx

Season APEX 130.7Event APEX 34.99Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2557SOTAbots

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 19.57Rank 34Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10455Bison Dynamics

Season APEX 89Event APEX -24.48Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2927, 3393, 9450

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2927, 3393, 9450

Auto

14.8 13%

Teleop

56.9 51%

Endgame

39.9 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8248, 2557, 10455

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8248, 2557, 10455

Auto

9.5 40%

Teleop

10.5 44%

Endgame

3.9 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.9 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score110.3pts

Blue projected score30.1pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 80.3
Score range: 9–131
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 154 vs event baseline 114.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

283Season APEX290.5

14.8Auto9.5

56.9Teleop10.5

39.9Endgame3.9

21Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	10
teleop	75	6
endgame	2	21
foul	0	5
total	112	42

Result

Final score

112 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 6.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.