Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

13.33 – 98.36

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

27 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 8.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 133.2 ±13.3

10423CB Tech

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX -7.91Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8303GatorBytes

Season APEX 31.7Event APEX 20.27Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5683R.A.V.E.N.

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 0.97Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 434.8 ±11.1

2928Viking Robotics

Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 21.95Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4450Olympia Robotics Federation

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 7.6Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7461Sushi Squad

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 68.81Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10423, 8303, 5683

/ 100 compat

Projected

13.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10423, 8303, 5683

Auto

12.8 93%

Teleop

-7.6 0%

Endgame

8.5 62%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2928, 4450, 7461

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2928, 4450, 7461

Auto

21.9 23%

Teleop

59.1 61%

Endgame

15.9 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.94 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score13.3pts

Blue projected score98.4pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -85
Score range: -8–119
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 129 vs event baseline 114.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

133.2Season APEX434.8

12.8Auto21.9

-7.6Teleop59.1

8.5Endgame15.9

16Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	28
teleop	5	42
endgame	14	32
foul	0	0
total	27	102

Result

Final score

27 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 8.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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