Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

202.32 – 68.68

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

226 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 446.5 ±10.5

492Titan Robotics Club

Season APEX 135.9Event APEX 90.09Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 69.16Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2147CHUCK

Season APEX 95.5Event APEX 43.07Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.6 ±11.7

1983Skunk Works Robotics

Season APEX 99.9Event APEX 10.17Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2976The Spartabots

Season APEX 115.4Event APEX 19.18Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9446C Cubed

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 39.33Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 492, 2412, 2147

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 492, 2412, 2147

Auto

34.4 17%

Teleop

130.5 63%

Endgame

43.4 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1983, 2976, 9446

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1983, 2976, 9446

Auto

6.7 10%

Teleop

37.5 55%

Endgame

24.1 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score202.3pts

Blue projected score68.7pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 133.6
Score range: 49–222
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 278 vs event baseline 113.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

446.5Season APEX286.6

34.4Auto6.7

130.5Teleop37.5

43.4Endgame24.1

10Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	19
teleop	145	23
endgame	48	10
foul	0	0
total	226	52

Result

Final score

226 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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