Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

76.79 – 52.81

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

182 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 61.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 380.2 ±11.7

2928Viking Robotics

Season APEX 93.8Event APEX 0.82Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 45.8Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9446C Cubed

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 30.17Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211.2 ±13.3

7461Sushi Squad

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 49.05Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6350Clawbots

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX 13.41Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10455Bison Dynamics

Season APEX 89Event APEX -9.65Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2928, 2412, 9446

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2928, 2412, 9446

Auto

24.2 30%

Teleop

49.9 61%

Endgame

7.1 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7461, 6350, 10455

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7461, 6350, 10455

Auto

11.0 22%

Teleop

35.9 73%

Endgame

2.0 4%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score76.8pts

Blue projected score52.8pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 24
Score range: 33–97
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 217 vs event baseline 112.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

380.2Season APEX211.2

24.2Auto11

49.9Teleop35.9

7.1Endgame2

47Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	12
teleop	123	23
endgame	39	0
foul	5	0
total	182	35

Result

Final score

182 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 61.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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