Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

64.44 – 72.08

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

1 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 48.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 244.4 ±11

3393Horns of Havoc

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 13.94Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8896Wolf Tech Robotics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 18.7Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2976The Spartabots

Season APEX 115.4Event APEX 31.8Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 190.6 ±12.2

2927NEST Robotics

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 6.27Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5683R.A.V.E.N.

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 21.72Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8248ChainLynx

Season APEX 130.7Event APEX 44.09Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3393, 8896, 2976

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3393, 8896, 2976

Auto

8.2 13%

Teleop

35.6 55%

Endgame

20.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2927, 5683, 8248

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2927, 5683, 8248

Auto

17.3 23%

Teleop

26.3 35%

Endgame

31.3 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.4pts

Blue projected score72.1pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -7.6
Score range: 39–97
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 39 vs event baseline 141.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

244.4Season APEX190.6

8.2Auto17.3

35.6Teleop26.3

20.7Endgame31.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	1	13
teleop	0	11
endgame	0	14
foul	0	0
total	1	38

Result

Final score

1 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 48.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.