Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

57.49 – 168.25

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 6.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 270.6 ±12.2

10423CB Tech

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX 16.63Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10416Radical Raccoons

Season APEX 142.3Event APEX 30.69Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8302⚡️ Ｎｉ-ＴＲＯ ⚡️

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 10.17Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 442.8 ±12

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 155.95Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8303GatorBytes

Season APEX 31.7Event APEX 8.51Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2929Emeral Ridge JAGBOTS

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 3.79Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10423, 10416, 8302

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10423, 10416, 8302

Auto

17.4 34%

Teleop

37.5 74%

Endgame

-4.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2046, 8303, 2929

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2046, 8303, 2929

Auto

31.6 19%

Teleop

100.1 61%

Endgame

31.3 19%

Strengths

· 2046 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57.5pts

Blue projected score168.2pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -110.8
Score range: 37–188
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 212 vs event baseline 112.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

270.6Season APEX442.8

17.4Auto31.6

37.5Teleop100.1

-4.4Endgame31.3

17Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	54
teleop	20	92
endgame	5	21
foul	5	0
total	45	167

Result

Final score

45 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 6.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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