Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

175.68 – 17.4

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

174 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 8.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 412.1 ±10.5

9450Velocity Raptors

Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 103.2Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2976The Spartabots

Season APEX 115.4Event APEX 21.47Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7461Sushi Squad

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 51.01Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 176.6 ±12.7

5941Cast Iron Orcas

Season APEX 36Event APEX -7.42Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3049BremerTron

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 18.34Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2557SOTAbots

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 6.48Rank 34Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9450, 2976, 7461

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9450, 2976, 7461

Auto

19.1 11%

Teleop

112.4 64%

Endgame

44.2 25%

Strengths

· 9450 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5941, 3049, 2557

/ 100 compat

Projected

17.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5941, 3049, 2557

Auto

9.6 65%

Teleop

-3.1 0%

Endgame

8.3 56%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score175.7pts

Blue projected score17.4pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 158.3
Score range: -3–196
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 207 vs event baseline 110.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

412.1Season APEX176.6

19.1Auto9.6

112.4Teleop-3.1

44.2Endgame8.3

0Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	3
teleop	105	18
endgame	35	7
foul	0	5
total	174	33

Result

Final score

174 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 8.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.