Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

132.91 – 44.07

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

160 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 18.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 375.4 ±12.4

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 98.42Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9446C Cubed

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 30.72Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8303GatorBytes

Season APEX 31.7Event APEX 3.77Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 183.2 ±12.7

5588Reign Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 22.56Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2906Sentinel Prime Robotics

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 11.04Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3393Horns of Havoc

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 10.47Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 360, 9446, 8303

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 360, 9446, 8303

Auto

20.9 15%

Teleop

75.0 55%

Endgame

39.6 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5588, 2906, 3393

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5588, 2906, 3393

Auto

12.1 32%

Teleop

29.0 77%

Endgame

-3.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.9pts

Blue projected score44.1pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 88.8
Score range: 24–153
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 195 vs event baseline 109.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

375.4Season APEX183.2

20.9Auto12.1

75Teleop29

39.6Endgame-3.6

154Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	5
teleop	112	23
endgame	22	7
foul	0	0
total	160	35

Result

Final score

160 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 18.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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