Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

30.59 – 75.04

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

94 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 73.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 248.7 ±11.6

7461Sushi Squad

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 23.88Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2557SOTAbots

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 10.41Rank 34Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8896Wolf Tech Robotics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX -3.7Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 262.5 ±12.2

4911CyberKnights

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 28.98Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

492Titan Robotics Club

Season APEX 135.9Event APEX 61.35Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6350Clawbots

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX -15.29Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7461, 2557, 8896

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7461, 2557, 8896

Auto

2.5 11%

Teleop

23.9 100%

Endgame

-3.9 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4911, 492, 6350

/ 100 compat

Projected

75 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4911, 492, 6350

Auto

27.6 35%

Teleop

43.5 55%

Endgame

7.4 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score30.6pts

Blue projected score75pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -44.4
Score range: 11–95
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 252 vs event baseline 111.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

248.7Season APEX262.5

2.5Auto27.6

23.9Teleop43.5

-3.9Endgame7.4

113Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	30
teleop	54	77
endgame	21	51
foul	0	0
total	94	158

Result

Final score

94 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 73.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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