Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

192.3 – 122.74

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

329 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 81.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 596.7 ±9.4

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 134.73Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2976The Spartabots

Season APEX 115.4Event APEX -3.01Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3218Panther Robotics

Season APEX 133.3Event APEX 60.58Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 439.4 ±10.5

5683R.A.V.E.N.

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 0.43Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 93.48Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10416Radical Raccoons

Season APEX 142.3Event APEX 28.83Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2046, 2976, 3218

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2046, 2976, 3218

Auto

38.0 20%

Teleop

111.8 59%

Endgame

40.9 21%

Strengths

· 2046 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5683, 360, 10416

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5683, 360, 10416

Auto

29.1 24%

Teleop

55.6 46%

Endgame

35.9 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.97 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score192.3pts

Blue projected score122.7pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 69.6
Score range: 104–211
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 478 vs event baseline 106.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

596.7Season APEX439.4

38Auto29.1

111.8Teleop55.6

40.9Endgame35.9

72Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	29
teleop	192	85
endgame	94	35
foul	5	0
total	329	149

Result

Final score

329 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 81.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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