Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

58.03 – 221.33

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

8 – 370

Prediction correct · off by 99.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 195.3 ±13.3

2929Emeral Ridge JAGBOTS

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 21.86Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3393Horns of Havoc

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 20.42Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10455Bison Dynamics

Season APEX 89Event APEX 15.75Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 578.1 ±9.9

948NRG (Newport Robotics Group)

Season APEX 278Event APEX 155.35Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9450Velocity Raptors

Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 67.53Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2147CHUCK

Season APEX 95.5Event APEX -1.55Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2929, 3393, 10455

/ 100 compat

Projected

58 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2929, 3393, 10455

Auto

8.2 16%

Teleop

32.4 64%

Endgame

10.3 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 948, 9450, 2147

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 948, 9450, 2147

Auto

33.4 15%

Teleop

133.7 61%

Endgame

51.9 24%

Strengths

· 948 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score58pts

Blue projected score221.3pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -163.3
Score range: 40–239
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 378 vs event baseline 101.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

195.3Season APEX578.1

8.2Auto33.4

32.4Teleop133.7

10.3Endgame51.9

44Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	30
teleop	1	208
endgame	0	132
foul	0	0
total	8	370

Result

Final score

8 – 370

Prediction correct · off by 99.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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