Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
61.59 – 14
64%36%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
35 – 143
Prediction missed · off by 77.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 371.2 ±11.1
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 25.45Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 44.59Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 70.8Event APEX -8.45Rank 34Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.6 ±11
Season APEX 36Event APEX -12.53Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 142.3Event APEX -7.51Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 133.3Event APEX 34.04Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8302, 4450, 2557
44
/ 100 compatProjected
61.6 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 8302, 4450, 2557
Auto
13.6 25%
Teleop
39.5 73%
Endgame
0.7 1%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5941, 10416, 3218
33
/ 100 compatProjected
14 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 5941, 10416, 3218
Auto
2.4 15%
Teleop
8.3 52%
Endgame
5.3 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.21
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score61.6pts
Blue projected score14pts
Red win probability64%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 47.6
- Score range
- -5–81
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
371.2Season APEX311.6
13.6Auto2.4
39.5Teleop8.3
0.7Endgame5.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 25 |
| teleop | 11 | 78 |
| endgame | 2 | 35 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 35 | 143 |
Result
Final score
35 – 143
Prediction missed · off by 77.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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