Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

100.87 – 65.94

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 80

Prediction missed · off by 29.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 186.6 ±12.7

3049BremerTron

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 37.87Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7461Sushi Squad

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 58.74Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5683R.A.V.E.N.

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 4.26Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 278.8 ±12.8

8248ChainLynx

Season APEX 130.7Event APEX 6.37Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10423CB Tech

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX 58.74Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9446C Cubed

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 0.83Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3049, 7461, 5683

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3049, 7461, 5683

Auto

20.0 19%

Teleop

61.0 59%

Endgame

22.3 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8248, 10423, 9446

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8248, 10423, 9446

Auto

11.4 17%

Teleop

45.2 68%

Endgame

9.7 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score100.9pts

Blue projected score65.9pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 34.9
Score range: 48–119
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 136 vs event baseline 101.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

186.6Season APEX278.8

20Auto11.4

61Teleop45.2

22.3Endgame9.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	10
teleop	29	34
endgame	16	36
foul	0	0
total	56	80

Result

Final score

56 – 80

Prediction missed · off by 29.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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