Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.17 – 135.21

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

119 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 53.8 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 316.2 ±12.4

9450Velocity Raptors

Season APEX 204.6Event APEX 76.6Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2906Sentinel Prime Robotics

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 32.82Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6350Clawbots

Season APEX 30.1Event APEX -20.25Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 508.2 ±9.8

492Titan Robotics Club

Season APEX 135.9Event APEX 79.28Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 58.91Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1983Skunk Works Robotics

Season APEX 99.9Event APEX -2.98Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9450, 2906, 6350

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9450, 2906, 6350

Auto

21.1 24%

Teleop

40.4 47%

Endgame

24.9 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 492, 360, 1983

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 492, 360, 1983

Auto

39.6 30%

Teleop

80.3 60%

Endgame

13.9 10%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score89.2pts

Blue projected score135.2pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -46
Score range: 72–152
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 96.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

316.2Season APEX508.2

21.1Auto39.6

40.4Teleop80.3

24.9Endgame13.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	54
teleop	78	110
endgame	27	49
foul	0	0
total	119	213

Result

Final score

119 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 53.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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