Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 58.79
30%70%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
58 – 91
Prediction correct · off by 45.1 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 214 ±12.2
Season APEX 96.5Event APEX -Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX -15Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 31.7Event APEX -10.42Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 317.8 ±12.2
Season APEX 95.5Event APEX 3.16Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 133.3Event APEX -Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 89Event APEX 40.14Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4911, 8896, 8303
8
/ 100 compatProjected
-9.9 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 4911, 8896, 8303
Auto
2.0 0%
Teleop
-5.0 42%
Endgame
-9.0 75%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2147, 3218, 10455
47
/ 100 compatProjected
58.8 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2147, 3218, 10455
Auto
14.8 30%
Teleop
33.2 67%
Endgame
1.3 3%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.97 · Blue 1.78
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-9.9pts
Blue projected score58.8pts
Red win probability30%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 33%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -58.8
- Score range
- -17–76
- Upset likelihood
- 30%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
214Season APEX317.8
-2.6Auto10.2
-12.7Teleop25.5
-12.1Endgame-1.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 2 | 5 |
| teleop | 22 | 57 |
| endgame | 34 | 29 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 58 | 91 |
Result
Final score
58 – 91
Prediction correct · off by 45.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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