Final · Finals 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

192.9 – 312.43

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

252 – 164

Prediction missed · off by 103.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 436.8 ±9.8

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 86.66Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

492Titan Robotics Club

Season APEX 135.9Event APEX 89.74Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8896Wolf Tech Robotics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 16.5Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 684.5 ±9.5

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 158.04Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5588Reign Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX -9.35Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

948NRG (Newport Robotics Group)

Season APEX 278Event APEX 163.74Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2412, 492, 8896

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2412, 492, 8896

Auto

39.6 20%

Teleop

119.1 60%

Endgame

40.7 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2046, 5588, 948

/ 100 compat

Projected

312.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2046, 5588, 948

Auto

62.8 21%

Teleop

165.2 54%

Endgame

75.4 25%

Strengths

· 948 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score192.9pts

Blue projected score312.4pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -119.5
Score range: 168–337
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 416 vs event baseline 140.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

436.8Season APEX684.5

39.6Auto62.8

119.1Teleop165.2

40.7Endgame75.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	51
teleop	130	84
endgame	84	19
foul	5	10
total	252	164

Result

Final score

252 – 164

Prediction missed · off by 103.8 pts

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