Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

179.26 – 320.1

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

302 – 245

Prediction missed · off by 98.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 436.8 ±9.8

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 82.34Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

492Titan Robotics Club

Season APEX 135.9Event APEX 85.23Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8896Wolf Tech Robotics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 11.69Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 684.5 ±9.5

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 160.6Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5588Reign Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX -6.55Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

948NRG (Newport Robotics Group)

Season APEX 278Event APEX 166.05Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2412, 492, 8896

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2412, 492, 8896

Auto

40.0 21%

Teleop

112.1 60%

Endgame

35.0 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2046, 5588, 948

/ 100 compat

Projected

320.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2046, 5588, 948

Auto

64.2 21%

Teleop

170.0 55%

Endgame

76.9 25%

Strengths

· 948 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score179.3pts

Blue projected score320.1pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -140.8
Score range: 154–345
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 547 vs event baseline 138.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

436.8Season APEX684.5

40Auto64.2

112.1Teleop170

35Endgame76.9

7Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	50
teleop	175	123
endgame	86	62
foul	5	10
total	302	245

Result

Final score

302 – 245

Prediction missed · off by 98.9 pts

Match videos

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