Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

204.33 – 334.28

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

0 – 203

Prediction correct · off by 167.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 436.8 ±9.8

2412Robototes

Season APEX 215.1Event APEX 90.03Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

492Titan Robotics Club

Season APEX 135.9Event APEX 93.96Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8896Wolf Tech Robotics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 20.34Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 684.5 ±9.5

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 164.75Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5588Reign Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX -2Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

948NRG (Newport Robotics Group)

Season APEX 278Event APEX 171.53Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2412, 492, 8896

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2412, 492, 8896

Auto

40.9 21%

Teleop

118.4 59%

Endgame

39.9 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2046, 5588, 948

/ 100 compat

Projected

334.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2046, 5588, 948

Auto

69.4 21%

Teleop

176.9 54%

Endgame

79.9 24%

Strengths

· 948 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.76 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score204.3pts

Blue projected score334.3pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -129.9
Score range: 179–359
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 203 vs event baseline 139.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

436.8Season APEX684.5

40.9Auto69.4

118.4Teleop176.9

39.9Endgame79.9

29Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	22
teleop	67	114
endgame	0	52
foul	0	15
total	0	203

Result

Final score

0 – 203

Prediction correct · off by 167.8 pts

Match videos

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