Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
363.04 – 283.67
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
403 – 349
Prediction correct · off by 52.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 583.5 ±9.9
Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 177.42Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 43Event APEX 6.88Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 178.74Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 431.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 11.64Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 185Event APEX 130.41Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 183.2Event APEX 141.62Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 360, 3574, 4089
82
/ 100 compatProjected
363 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 360, 3574, 4089
Auto
76.9 21%
Teleop
201.6 56%
Endgame
79.3 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2929, 4512, 1778
77
/ 100 compatProjected
283.7 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 2929, 4512, 1778
Auto
47.0 17%
Teleop
144.6 53%
Endgame
79.9 29%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 1.29
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score363pts
Blue projected score283.7pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 68%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 79.4
- Score range
- 247–400
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
583.5Season APEX431.3
76.9Auto47
201.6Teleop144.6
79.3Endgame79.9
13Consistency24
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 125 | 55 |
| teleop | 202 | 191 |
| endgame | 71 | 103 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 403 | 349 |
Result
Final score
403 – 349
Prediction correct · off by 52.6 pts
Match videos
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