Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

253.73 – 253.63

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

167 – 224

Prediction missed · off by 58.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 718.8 ±9.9

3393Horns of Havoc

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 17.91Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2910Jack in the Bot

Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 66.57Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4469R.A.I.D. (Raider Artificial Intelligence Division)

A+

Season APEX 307.3Event APEX 169.25Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 354.2 ±11

4682CyBears

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 14.81Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10079Arrowdynamics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 125.25Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3663CPR - Cedar Park Robotics

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 113.57Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3393, 2910, 4469

/ 100 compat

Projected

253.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3393, 2910, 4469

Auto

32.1 13%

Teleop

151.2 60%

Endgame

68.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4682, 10079, 3663

/ 100 compat

Projected

253.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4682, 10079, 3663

Auto

65.0 25%

Teleop

152.6 58%

Endgame

45.0 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 1.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score253.7pts

Blue projected score253.6pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.1
Score range: 218–290
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 391 vs event baseline 199.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

718.8Season APEX354.2

32.1Auto65

151.2Teleop152.6

68.3Endgame45

0Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	88
teleop	71	102
endgame	30	34
foul	15	0
total	167	224

Result

Final score

167 – 224

Prediction missed · off by 58.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.