Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

156.86 – 155.44

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

239 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 75.9 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 502.5 ±11.2

3219TREAD (Trojan Robotics, Engineering, Art, & Design)

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 12.29Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 80.57Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1778Chill Out

Season APEX 183.2Event APEX 64Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 445.2 ±12.4

949Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 107.3Event APEX 12.29Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3049BremerTron

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 48.86Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4089Stealth Robotics

Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 94.29Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3219, 360, 1778

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3219, 360, 1778

Auto

36.6 24%

Teleop

79.2 52%

Endgame

36.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 949, 3049, 4089

/ 100 compat

Projected

155.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 949, 3049, 4089

Auto

51.0 34%

Teleop

91.3 60%

Endgame

9.8 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.81 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score156.9pts

Blue projected score155.4pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.4
Score range: 123–189
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 464 vs event baseline 178.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

502.5Season APEX445.2

36.6Auto51

79.2Teleop91.3

36.9Endgame9.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	31
teleop	122	141
endgame	67	53
foul	5	0
total	239	225

Result

Final score

239 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 75.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.