Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

208.7 – 165.16

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

265 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 405.3 ±12.4

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 171.17Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3049BremerTron

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 39.32Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2929Emeral Ridge JAGBOTS

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX -1.79Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254.8 ±12.2

3663CPR - Cedar Park Robotics

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 115.29Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3070Team Pronto 3070

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 15.15Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11347Bronco Brigade

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 34.72Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 360, 3049, 2929

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 360, 3049, 2929

Auto

51.1 25%

Teleop

105.7 51%

Endgame

49.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3663, 3070, 11347

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3663, 3070, 11347

Auto

40.6 24%

Teleop

107.2 64%

Endgame

19.6 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score208.7pts

Blue projected score165.2pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 43.5
Score range: 130–244
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 415 vs event baseline 197.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

405.3Season APEX254.8

51.1Auto40.6

105.7Teleop107.2

49.9Endgame19.6

9Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	46
teleop	147	98
endgame	75	6
foul	5	0
total	265	150

Result

Final score

265 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.