Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

310.68 – 118.03

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

467 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 114.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 540.3 ±11.2

10455Bison Dynamics

Season APEX 89Event APEX 23.15Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4089Stealth Robotics

Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 164.47Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1778Chill Out

Season APEX 183.2Event APEX 123.06Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 466.2 ±11.7

2927NEST Robotics

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 22.54Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4682CyBears

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 22.4Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2910Jack in the Bot

Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 73.09Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10455, 4089, 1778

/ 100 compat

Projected

310.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10455, 4089, 1778

Auto

66.3 21%

Teleop

181.8 59%

Endgame

60.6 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2927, 4682, 2910

/ 100 compat

Projected

118 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2927, 4682, 2910

Auto

11.5 10%

Teleop

67.4 57%

Endgame

38.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score310.7pts

Blue projected score118pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 192.7
Score range: 83–346
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 513 vs event baseline 196.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

540.3Season APEX466.2

66.3Auto11.5

181.8Teleop67.4

60.6Endgame38.9

52Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	21
teleop	275	13
endgame	132	12
foul	0	0
total	467	46

Result

Final score

467 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 114.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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