Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
184.56 – 205.71
43%57%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
26 – 240
Prediction correct · off by 96.4 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 296.8 ±11
Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 31.71Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 148.3Event APEX 77.14Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 75.71Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 430.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 43Event APEX 31.71Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 96.86Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 307.3Event APEX 77.14Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4682, 8051, 8896
67
/ 100 compatProjected
184.6 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4682, 8051, 8896
Auto
36.6 21%
Teleop
106.0 60%
Endgame
34.9 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3574, 11347, 4469
71
/ 100 compatProjected
205.7 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3574, 11347, 4469
Auto
46.9 23%
Teleop
123.4 61%
Endgame
31.1 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.76
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score184.6pts
Blue projected score205.7pts
Red win probability43%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -21.2
- Score range
- 152–239
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
296.8Season APEX430.5
36.6Auto46.9
106Teleop123.4
34.9Endgame31.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 10 |
| teleop | 8 | 138 |
| endgame | 0 | 77 |
| foul | 5 | 15 |
| total | 26 | 240 |
Result
Final score
26 – 240
Prediction correct · off by 96.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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