Qualification · Qualification 67
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
356.75 – 186.89
89%11%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
418 – 165
Prediction correct · off by 41.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 539.5 ±10
Season APEX 348Event APEX 273.39Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 148.3Event APEX 67.52Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 15.84Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 276.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 128.68Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86.2Event APEX 41.05Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 31.7Event APEX 17.16Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2046, 8051, 3393
82
/ 100 compatProjected
356.7 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 2046, 8051, 3393
Auto
76.6 22%
Teleop
189.0 55%
Endgame
77.7 23%
Strengths
- · 2046 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10079, 3786, 8303
60
/ 100 compatProjected
186.9 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 10079, 3786, 8303
Auto
46.0 24%
Teleop
106.9 56%
Endgame
37.8 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.95
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score356.7pts
Blue projected score186.9pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 67%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 169.9
- Score range
- 152–392
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
539.5Season APEX276.5
76.6Auto46
189Teleop106.9
77.7Endgame37.8
13Consistency29
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 97 | 28 |
| teleop | 197 | 62 |
| endgame | 114 | 75 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 418 | 165 |
Result
Final score
418 – 165
Prediction correct · off by 41.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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