Qualification · Qualification 66
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
532.18 – 162.24
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
374 – 262
Prediction correct · off by 129 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 679.2 ±8.8
Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 187.19Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 214.78Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 130.21Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 333.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 13.58Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 183.2Event APEX 112.64Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 36.02Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 360, 9023, 3663
80
/ 100 compatProjected
532.2 pts
~2.9 RP (district)
Teams: 360, 9023, 3663
Auto
97.9 18%
Teleop
319.1 60%
Endgame
112.3 21%
Strengths
- · 9023 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 19%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4682, 1778, 4173
58
/ 100 compatProjected
162.2 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 4682, 1778, 4173
Auto
31.4 19%
Teleop
84.1 51%
Endgame
49.0 30%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 19%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.85 · Blue 0.63
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score532.2pts
Blue projected score162.2pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 68%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 369.9
- Score range
- 127–567
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
679.2Season APEX333.2
97.9Auto31.4
319.1Teleop84.1
112.3Endgame49
2Consistency82
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 110 | 53 |
| teleop | 243 | 115 |
| endgame | 21 | 84 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 374 | 262 |
Result
Final score
374 – 262
Prediction correct · off by 129 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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