Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

99.16 – 84.8

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 99

Prediction missed · off by 19.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.9 ±12.7

2980Whidbey Island Wildcats

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 35.85Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7627Bearcat Robotics

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 49.8Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3574HIGH TEKERZ

Season APEX 43Event APEX 13.51Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.5 ±13.3

2906Sentinel Prime Robotics

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 21.56Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3070Team Pronto 3070

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 15.33Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

949Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 107.3Event APEX 47.91Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2980, 7627, 3574

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2980, 7627, 3574

Auto

28.4 31%

Teleop

20.9 23%

Endgame

43.2 47%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2906, 3070, 949

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2906, 3070, 949

Auto

33.4 41%

Teleop

43.6 53%

Endgame

4.6 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score99.2pts

Blue projected score84.8pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 14.4
Score range: 50–134
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 174 vs event baseline 196.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

171.9Season APEX230.5

28.4Auto33.4

20.9Teleop43.6

43.2Endgame4.6

16Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	33
teleop	45	48
endgame	13	18
foul	0	0
total	75	99

Result

Final score

75 – 99

Prediction missed · off by 19.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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