Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

88.17 – 42.63

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 88

Prediction missed · off by 38.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 181.8 ±12.7

3574HIGH TEKERZ

Season APEX 43Event APEX 17.08Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8302⚡️ Ｎｉ-ＴＲＯ ⚡️

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 33.35Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4173Bark Bots

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 37.74Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.4 ±12.7

10455Bison Dynamics

Season APEX 89Event APEX 21.95Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3070Team Pronto 3070

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 10.14Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4682CyBears

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 10.54Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3574, 8302, 4173

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3574, 8302, 4173

Auto

19.1 24%

Teleop

29.4 36%

Endgame

32.3 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10455, 3070, 4682

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10455, 3070, 4682

Auto

6.6 14%

Teleop

41.3 88%

Endgame

-0.7 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score88.2pts

Blue projected score42.6pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.5
Score range: 7–124
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 145 vs event baseline 199.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

181.8Season APEX193.4

19.1Auto6.6

29.4Teleop41.3

32.3Endgame-0.7

0Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	23
teleop	6	40
endgame	16	25
foul	0	0
total	57	88

Result

Final score

57 – 88

Prediction missed · off by 38.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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